Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.397004 0.516663 0.646947 0.797338 0.964349 1.142558 1.345602
2025-05-11 0.248630 0.410204 0.605217 0.848098 1.134381 1.454493 1.833529
2025-05-18 0.161363 0.332589 0.558145 0.855201 1.219437 1.638554 2.145945
2025-05-25 0.084285 0.242418 0.476463 0.805174 1.225319 1.722667 2.337526
2025-06-01 0.035725 0.170560 0.402134 0.750535 1.214181 1.777423 2.486656
2025-06-08 0.012935 0.127094 0.358151 0.728154 1.237262 1.868421 2.674306
2025-06-15 0.004320 0.105990 0.344476 0.744593 1.308037 2.016071 2.928313
2025-06-22 0.000134 0.080588 0.316588 0.736067 1.342809 2.116856 3.124043
2025-06-29 NaN 0.056844 0.284098 0.716002 1.358887 2.191901 3.286643
2025-07-06 NaN 0.051660 0.289445 0.754885 1.455966 2.370097 3.576187
2025-07-13 NaN 0.048947 0.299723 0.801487 1.563785 2.562178 3.883111
2025-07-20 NaN 0.045784 0.307955 0.844364 1.666234 2.747357 4.181620
2025-07-27 NaN 0.048056 0.332587 0.918603 1.818697 3.004211 4.578186
2025-08-03 NaN 0.044159 0.340097 0.964456 1.931939 3.211917 4.915986
2025-08-10 NaN 0.034418 0.327631 0.974453 1.992585 3.350144 5.166130
2025-08-17 NaN 0.017489 0.281100 0.920182 1.957400 3.361024 5.255362
2025-08-24 NaN 0.006136 0.235872 0.861665 1.911968 3.355571 5.321720
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001811 0.210859 0.837540 1.915497 3.413450 5.466547
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000762 0.207085 0.855242 1.982642 3.556939 5.720659
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000006 0.191209 0.846065 2.007307 3.642300 5.899931
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.170818 0.824465 2.011156 3.698429 6.041001
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.178792 0.866307 2.115771 3.893047 6.361154
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.190322 0.916362 2.233623 4.106047 6.705294